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Polymarket · ID 665374

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

YES
16%
NO
85%
Volume
$33.32M
Liquidity
$580.6K
7mo left · 12/31/202624h -2.0%
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Chain
BNB Smart Chain · BEP-20
Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.