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AI Edge Leaderboard

Markets where MFSMAI Oracle disagrees most with Polymarket. Ranked by absolute edge. These are the strongest mispricing candidates.

01
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
MKT 64%AI 8%NO
-55.6%
edge
02
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
MKT 1%AI 18%NO
+16.8%
edge
03
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
MKT 16%AI 3%NO
-12.5%
edge
04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
MKT 18%AI 8%NO
-9.5%
edge
05
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
MKT 81%AI 72%YES
-8.5%
edge
06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
MKT 0%AI 8%NO
+7.6%
edge
07
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
MKT 1%AI 8%NO
+6.6%
edge
08
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
MKT 23%AI 28%NO
+5.5%
edge
09
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
MKT 2%AI 0%NO
-2.0%
edge
10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
MKT 0%AI 2%NO
+2.0%
edge
11
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
MKT 6%AI 8%NO
+1.9%
edge
12
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
MKT 1%AI 3%NO
+1.7%
edge
13
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
MKT 3%AI 2%NO
-1.1%
edge
14
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 2%NO
+0.9%
edge
15
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.7%
edge
16
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.7%
edge
17
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.7%
edge
18
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.6%
edge
19
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.6%
edge
20
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
MKT 1%AI 1%NO
+0.6%
edge
21
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.5%
edge
22
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.5%
edge
23
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.5%
edge
24
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 1%NO
+0.5%
edge
25
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.4%
edge
26
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.4%
edge
27
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 0%NO
-0.3%
edge
28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
MKT 2%AI 2%NO
-0.3%
edge
29
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 1%NO
+0.2%
edge
30
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
MKT 1%AI 1%NO
+0.2%
edge